Thursday, September 1, 2011

Razzball Draft Recap: Crash and Burn!






Fantasy Drafts 1
Me 0

Just participated in the first of my “serious” drafts and let me tell you, it was ug-ly! This was the draft hosted/sponsored by one of my favorite fantasy sites, Razzball. The Razzballin' Rough Riders met tonight, at 7:30 eastern to draft fantasy teams that would duke it out for the 2011 season. I expected some really tough competition given the host, and was not disappointed, though (spoiler alert) some guy named Chedda seems to have decided to lose the league before the draft was over. Personally, I figured “That's novel”, but hey, it's a free country and a free league, and maybe he doesn't take it as seriously as a fantasy nerd like me. Anyhow, there was a good turnout, and the guys who showed up made it lots of fun. This league features 3WRs, 2RBs, and a flex. On to the carnage.

ROUND 1
1 Adrian Peterson, Min RB The Rhinos
2 Ray Rice, Bal RB That's So Ravens
3 Jamaal Charles, KC RB  Belichick's Video Rentals
4 Chris Johnson*, Ten RB Schmohawk Surprise
5 LeSean McCoy, Phi RB Salty Chocolate Balls
6 Darren McFadden, Oak RB Clear Eyes Full Hearts
7 Rashard Mendenhall, Pit RB My Forte
8 Andre Johnson, Hou WR Killa Beez
9 Arian Foster, Hou RB Ten Inch Ditkas
10 Aaron Rodgers, GB QB MAD MEN
11 Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac RB RT Langes
12 Roddy White, Atl WR Chedda Bob



The first thing that should pop out at you, is Arian Foster slumming at the 9th draft slot, a neighborhood he has heretofore been unseen in. This free-fall was courtesy of his freedom of information slash open source posting of the MRI of his gimpy hammy on Twitter. He insisted that he was okay, and wouldn't have posted it if he were hurt. Hmmm...well, 8 fantasy football GMs disagreed with Dr. Foster and left him to the tender mercies of, you guessed it, autopick. Could this turn out to be the steal of the draft? Sure. And that blind date your aunt Selma set up for you could turn out to be a supermodel. But let's not put all our allowance money on it. I'm going to take a wild guess and say that the Texans will be the first professional sports franchise with a MRI/Twitter policy.

Chris Johnson did not drop as much as I would have thought. Apparently Mr. Schmohawk (who ruined my draft by picking extremely well right NEXT to me!) is confident that the Titans know where their bread is buttered and will be forthcoming with the Chedda. Spoiler alert, Schmohawk, by my reckoning, had the best draft.

Now I'm not saying I want CJ2K to hold out, but......

MADMEN grabbed Aaron, and by the time we got to the 4th round it seemed to me that he had gotten away with it. Yes, I'm envious. I would NEVER take a QB in round 1, especially when we have to play 6 running backs and wide receivers, and that's before bye week considerations and injuries. Of course, he had a better draft slot than I did.  That's my story and I'm sticking to it.


ROUND 2
13 Calvin Johnson, Det WR Chedda Bob
14 Drew Brees, NO QB RT Langes
15 Frank Gore, SF RB MAD MEN
16 Larry Fitzgerald, Ari WR Ten Inch Ditkas
17 Tom Brady, NE QB Killa Beez
18 Michael Vick, Phi QB My Forte
19 Hakeem Nicks, NYG WR Clear Eyes Full Hearts
20 Michael Turner, Atl RB Salty Chocolate Balls
21 Steven Jackson, StL RB Schmohawk Surprise
22 LeGarrette Blount, TB RB  Belichick's Video Rentals
23 Matt Forte, Chi RB That's So Ravens
24 Vincent Jackson, SD WR The Rhinos

Not much to see here folks. Three more QBs were snagged in this round. The only pick that was out of order, I think, was my pick of Blount over Forte and Vjax. I'm not saying Marion Barber gives me the willies so much as I'm saying that Forte's production is erratic and he plays behind a Godawful offensive line. I like him from his rookie year, when I got him cheap and he gave me great numbers, but What have you done for me lately? As for Vjax, love him this year, but this roster demands that I attend to the RB slots early, so I did...and I payed for it!

ROUND 3
25 Mark Ingram, NO RB The Rhinos
26 Philip Rivers, SD QB That's So Ravens
27 Shonn Greene, NYJ RB  Belichick's Video Rentals
28 Mike Wallace, Pit WR Schmohawk Surprise
29 Greg Jennings, GB WR Salty Chocolate Balls
30 Felix Jones, Dal RB Clear Eyes Full Hearts
31 Peyton Hillis, Cle RB My Forte
32 Miles Austin, Dal WR Killa Beez
33 Reggie Wayne, Ind WR Ten Inch Ditkas
34 DeAngelo Williams, Car RB MAD MEN
35 DeSean Jackson, Phi WR RT Langes
36 Antonio Gates, SD TE Chedda Bob


The Ingram pick is the flashing neon sign of round 3. It's completely out of line with his ADP, but if we ever have a real live league Happy Hour, maybe I'll get to ask Rhino whether his underwear is Crimson, or Black and Gold? I was appalled by how ravaged the RB ranks were by this point, and gambled my entire season on the idea that the flashes we saw at the end of last year, as well as 2009, and this preseason, really are a sampling of the fantasy goodness to come from the Greene Machine. I mean I passed up Wallace, Jennings, Austin and Wayne for crying out loud. Shonn had better perform dagnabit! The other interesting picks in this round were Felix Jones and DeAngelo Williams, both of which I rate reaches warranting emergency chiropractic intervention . Felix was autopick, which implies that the absent GM actually valued him that highly. But MAD MEN doesn't have that excuse, as he was present and accounted for. DeAngelo has been good to fantasy owners in the past, but to me it's too much wear and tear, and, um, tear. Chedda grabs the first tight end in what I consider to be the first of several questionable choices by our resident cheese GM. I've loved Gates in the past, but as with so many of this year's players, his health is a mystery wrapped in a riddle, hidden by a cloaking device.

Um, no thanks.

So after 3 rounds, I've got myself 3 RBs and am in sole possession of the dreaded RB-RB-RB strategery.



ROUND 4
37 Mike Williams, TB WR Chedda Bob
38 Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG RB RT Langes
39 Knowshon Moreno, Den RB MAD MEN
40 Peyton Manning, Ind QB Ten Inch Ditkas
41 Beanie Wells, Ari RB Killa Beez
42 Jahvid Best, Det RB My Forte
43 Dez Bryant, Dal WR Clear Eyes Full Hearts
44 Tony Romo, Dal QB Salty Chocolate Balls
45 Dwayne Bowe, KC WR Schmohawk Surprise
46 Wes Welker, NE WR  Belichick's Video Rentals
47 Tim Hightower, Wsh RB That's So Ravens
48 Ryan Mathews, SD RB The Rhinos

Round 4 was, for some GMs, the beginning of the end. Although hilariously, I'm not sure they were aware of it. MAD MEN in contrast, was setting himself up for a rather nice season with the snag of Mr. Moreno, probably the most underrated RB on the boards. Remember, MAD MEN has Aaron “the boy” Rodgers, and Moreno is his RB3!! Ditka, by this point, was single-handedly making this draft worth my attendance. Seriously, with all the question marks on this team, I thought he'd change his name (mid-draft) to the Riddlers!

  1. Arian “327 carries and a bad hammy” Foster
  2. Larry “Cards got Kolb 2010 NOT Kolb 2009” Fitzgerald
  3. Reggie “Painter? Really?! LOL or , oh that's right, I threw Collins under the bus” Wayne
  4. Peyton “Did we pay Kerry $4 mil to sit on the bench?” Manning

Don't get me wrong, if all of those picks work out, he's in the playoffs. But you're not betting my lunch money on that proposition. A Six foot six QB with orthopedic issues, at 35 years of age, with a juicy new contract under his belt, with a lockout extended period of non-professionally assisted not-quite recovery, is not how I want to start my 2011 fantasy season. 

Beanie Wells at 41 is the worst pick so far. We've seen Beanie. We know Beanie. “He is, who we thought he was.” And what he's not, is a 4th round pick!! I'd take any of the other players in this round over Wells. Go with God Killa. Go with God. 

In a pattern he was to repeat throughout the draft, Schmohawk Surpise T-Boned me by taking the Rainbowe. I was not a happy camper. After the second or third snarffle of one of my prospective picks, I actually chatted that he really should have bought me dinner first. Seriously though, I much prefer an idiot next door during the draft. I enjoy it more, and I end up with a much better team. When the guy next to me drafts like he has spyware on my computer, it makes for a loooooong night.

The Hightower pick unleashed a torrent of dark sentiment concerning the Redskins and as well as Shanahan. And while I would usually chuckle and agree, the fact is that even in this early round the pickings really were getting slim. I've seen Hightower this preseason. I'm not so sure that was a bad pick here. 

Anyway, my draft was tanking because the best player available was Welker. In case you don't get the reference (which would make you a fake football fan) my team name is disparaging of the Patriots. To my chagrin, this would happen again as several Pats now infest my roster. 

Mike Wallace as my WR1 is starting to look better than Shonn as my RB3. But I've always been a sucker for a good RB, especially when he has top 5 potential (see Thomas Jones 2009). So pangs of regret mixed in with hand-rubbing glee and optimism is how I would describe it.

ROUND 5
49 Santonio Holmes, NYJ WR The Rhinos
50 Brandon Lloyd, Den WR That's So Ravens
51 Ben Roethlisberger, Pit QB  Belichick's Video Rentals
52 Marques Colston, NO WR Schmohawk Surprise
53 Jeremy Maclin, Phi WR Salty Chocolate Balls
54 Steve Johnson, Buf WR Clear Eyes Full Hearts
55 Jermichael Finley, GB TE My Forte
56 Fred Jackson, Buf RB Killa Beez
57 Jason Witten, Dal TE Ten Inch Ditkas
58 BenJarvus Green-Ellis, NE RB MAD MEN
59 Jonathan Stewart, Car RB RT Langes
60 Percy Harvin, Min WR Chedda Bob



Round 5 finds me panicking about my QB position, because while I usually like to wait on this position, there are limits to even my fortitude. Eli Manning anyone? Um, no. It was extremely difficult to pass up on Colston, Maclin, Stevie Johnson, and Witten, but all I had to do was picture rolling with Eli. Twenty-five interceptions and delusions of grandeur in that recent interview are quite enough thank you. Big Ben? Click. Here's a guy who was clocking top 10 QB numbers  and around 270 YPG when he finally got on the field last year, and I grabbed him at like QB8. Given that this is a 12 team league, and they picked up in pre-season where they left off last year, I'll take it. Not to mention that I hate the Giants anyway. MAD MEN made his first mistake in the draft by grabbing the law firm instead of Harvin. The Patriots drafted at least two rookie running backs who have looked good in preseason. I just don't see BGE getting the workload he did last year which is the only way this price is justified. Britt, Manningham, and Marshall were also available. But would I get any of those guys? Noooooooo!

Because the fantasy gods hate me!


ROUND 6
61 Cedric Benson, Cin RB Chedda Bob
62 Kenny Britt, Ten WR RT Langes
63 Mario Manningham, NYG WR MAD MEN
64 Ryan Grant, GB RB Ten Inch Ditkas
65 Dallas Clark, Ind TE Killa Beez
66 Brandon Marshall, Mia WR My Forte
67 Matthew Stafford, Det QB Clear Eyes Full Hearts
68 Austin Collie, Ind WR Salty Chocolate Balls
69 Joseph Addai, Ind RB Schmohawk Surprise
70 Owen Daniels, Hou TE  Belichick's Video Rentals
71 Anquan Boldin, Bal WR That's So Ravens
72 Vernon Davis, SF TE The Rhinos

Round Six started off with another classic move by the Big Cheese: Cedric Benson?! I am still convinced that Chedda made this pick just so he could get the complimentary orange jump suit. I don't like Cedric, I never have. He had a ridiculous (300+) number of carries last year and a poor YPC, he clearly has a discipline problem, and frankly, I think he's worn down. But most importantly, I really don't like Cedric Benson! Chedda is going straight to the underworld, and that's all there is to it. This was the last round with serious talent, and I note that it's an even-numbered round, and the good stuff was gone by the first half of the round....leaving me SOL. The only good news is that I can take this experience into my 12 team draft this weekend. Unfortunately for me, even the Addai pick will probably work for Mr. Schmohawk. Based on some analysts' observations, Addai has apparently outplayed both Donald Brown and Delone Carter. Now I haven't had a chance to watch Indy this summer, so I do not have my own, independent opinion on this, but the Schmohawk may benefit from this with the Addai snag. Boldin was tempting, particularly considering the need for 3 or even 4 WRs in this set-up. So of course I went with........TE. At this point I was more afraid of what comes after Owen Daniels, than I was of missing out on Anquan, and his unimpressive start in Baltimore last year. But seriously, I knew the wheels were falling off my draft wagon by how unappetizing the remaining names were already. Ditka made an impressive comeback from last round's bout of sanity (with Witten!) by going with Ryan Grant?!? A player coming back from injury, who has not played well in preseason, was already being eclipsed by a younger RB, on what is clearly becoming an increasingly pass-first team. Good Move Ditka!

Ten inches my @$$ !

ROUND 7
73 Matt Ryan, Atl QB The Rhinos
74 Sidney Rice, Sea WR That's So Ravens
75 Chad Ochocinco, NE WR  Belichick's Video Rentals
76 Matt Schaub, Hou QB Schmohawk Surprise
77 Reggie Bush, Mia RB Salty Chocolate Balls
78 Lance Moore, NO WR Clear Eyes Full Hearts
79 Marshawn Lynch, Sea RB My Forte
80 Mike Thomas, Jac WR Killa Beez
81 Mike Tolbert, SD RB Ten Inch Ditkas
82 James Starks, GB RB MAD MEN
83 Marcedes Lewis, Jac TE RT Langes
84 Sam Bradford, StL QB Chedda Bob



First of all, kudos to Rhinos for waiting this long on a QB. And Matty ice no less. At this point of the draft I still only had one WR!!! So of course the best player available was....a (&*@#&$*(&^$% Patriot! I am hoping that folks are nice enough to trade for these Patriot players, but I'm not holding my breath. Schmohawk getting Schaubby this late just proves that life is not fair. I believe that was the pick that sealed his championship. Reggie Bush on the radar means you've gone p r e t t y deep into your draft. Will he outscore Lynch? Who knows. But I think I would have picked Tolbert over those two, which is weird because now I can't make fun of Ditka this round! I thought Starks was a decent pick down here. A bit of a gamble, but seriously, take a look at the neighborhood! Lewis down here, could be a steal. Some sites have him as high as TE5.


ROUND 8
85 Josh Freeman, TB QB Chedda Bob
86 Pierre Garcon, Ind WR RT Langes
87 Santana Moss, Wsh WR MAD MEN
88 Brandon Jacobs, NYG RB Ten Inch Ditkas
89 C.J. Spiller, Buf RB Killa Beez
90 Julio Jones, Atl WR My Forte
91 Michael Bush, Oak RB Clear Eyes Full Hearts
92 Jordy Nelson, GB WR Salty Chocolate Balls
93 Jimmy Graham, NO TE Schmohawk Surprise
94 Johnny Knox, Chi WR  Belichick's Video Rentals
95 Robert Meachem, NO WR That's So Ravens
96 A.J. Green, Cin WR The Rhinos

Apparently, the Big Cheese actually wins the prize for waiting on QB, and does it the right way by taking Freeman and Bradford with back-to-back picks. See, he did something right! I thought there were some decent values in this round starting with Santana Moss. I like Jordy Nelson at this value, and Schmohawk getting Jimmy Graham in the 8th round was a clear message that I need to get my butt to church more often.

After that round, the picks get ugly and the names become absolutely obscure. I'm not sure what I would do differently, though obviously moving down in draft order would be the first step. I thought the clear overall winner of the draft was Schmohawk, followed by:

Salty
Ravens
Forte
Mad Men

Oddly, I thought Chedda had the best corps of WRs, but since he devoted like 4 of his first 5 picks to WRs, you kind of expect that. HA!  As for myself, here's what I ended up with:


BELICHICK'S VIDEO RENTALS
3Jamaal Charles, KC RB
22LeGarrette Blount, TB RB
27Shonn Greene, NYJ RB
46Wes Welker, NE WR
51Ben Roethlisberger, Pit QB
70Owen Daniels, Hou TE
75Chad Ochocinco, NE WR
94Johnny Knox, Chi WR
99Malcom Floyd, SD WR
118Lee Evans, Bal WR
123Patriots D/ST D/ST
142Darren Sproles, NO RB
147Rob Gronkowski, NE TE
166Jacquizz Rodgers, Atl RB
171Steve Smith, Phi WR
190Alex Henery, Phi K
195Isaac Redman, Pit RB

I had Jamaal Charles on literally every one of my fantasy teams last year.  Obviously, the bandwagon's a little crowded this year because you need a top 4 pick to get him. I'm hoping he has one more ridiculous year left in him.  I've got Patriots at WR1, WR2, Defense and TE2. Ugh. And don't discount that TE2 slot, because Gronk finished top 10 last year.  The cupboard was bare after round 7, as you can see from the scraps I ended up with. There is an outside chance, that I might get some late season production out of Steve Smith.  There is a greater chance that it'll all be over by then anyway.

Now that I've been properly humbled, hopefully I'll do a lot better tomorrow night at the NHNP draft.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

That was a great recap, very fun. I missed out on all the chat in the draft because I had to use the "Lite Draft App" and you have to scroll to a different country to find the chat section.

I couldn't agree more on your analysis either, well except for the part about needing a top 4 pick to get Charles.....apparently you need a top 3 pick since I got stuck right off the bat and had to pick CJ.

~ Schmohawk Surprise

Unknown said...

Rhinos here, great article. Ingram was a reach at 3.1. I am expecting a great year and for him to be entrenched as the starter come fantasy playoffs. His ADP is up to about 3.5 and I knew he wouldn't make it back to me 20+ picks later. I did pass on some nice WR value there. As for waiting on QB, I had every intention of snagging Big Ben in the sixth, but you beat me to the punch. I also planned to be one of the last to take TE because of the depth this year. They went slower than I expected and I couldn't pass up V.Davis at 6.12.

My Favortie picks Vjax at 2.12, S. Holmes in the 5th. I don't love Ryan Mathews in the 4th, and reaching for Ingram could be my downfall.

Let the games begin.

The Eagles Fan said...

Schmohawk Surprise -- Well, looks like you made out OK with CJ, now that he's signed.

Rhinos -- I don't hate the Ingram pick by any stretch. I was just pointing out that the conventional wisdom had him lower. I think you very well may get the last laugh because I have vivid recollections of how valuable Pierre Thomas was before his injuries; easily top 10. Vernon was a good snag. Not loving the Niners this year, but he's the lead receiver in that offense. As for Mathews, there's a lot of hate out there, that discounts just how incredible that guy is when he's healthy. Again, maybe I wouldn't pay the 4th round price, but 12 teams and 36 possible RBs a week doesn't tend to leave a lot of better options at that pick.

Thanks for the comments. Good Luck!